Boston University
Fall 2021
MW 2pm-3:15
Professor James Feigenbaum
jamesf@bu.edu
Introduction
Economics 764 is one of the two courses in the two-semester PhD sequence in economic history at BU. Historically, it was taught in the fall (because we understand that 764 < 765), but in some years (like this year) it is taught in the spring. The primary goal of the economic history sequence is to train graduate students to do serious research in economic history. We will read recent and classic papers in the field, talk about new ideas and questions, hunt for new old data, and learn empirical methods used in economic history research.
New old data has made a huge impact on economic history and many of the papers we will read this semester make use of new data. The cost of data collection has fallen and the availability of big data for historical research has grown. At the individual data, the complete count federal censuses, 1850 to 1940 (soon 1950), allow us to observe the entire population, zooming in on people or locations of interest. The names revealed in the complete count and other sources enable us to (if we are careful) record link people from one historical source to another, creating new historical longitudinal data. Other researchers are turning maps and text into data. As you start thinking about your own future research in economic history, I hope you’ll be inspired or provoked by the work we read this semester.
Christophe Chamley takes over for the second half of the course. Bob Margo taught EC765 in the fall. I think next academic year will look like this academic year but I’m not very good at predictions.
We will meet on Mondays and Wednesdays from 2 to 3:15 in SSW 315 (this is just the usual seminar room in the economics department, down the hall from my office).
Requirements
- In class
- During my half-semester, everyone will present papers from the syllabus (you make the slides). We’ll get papers and classes allocated during the first week of class.
- Depending on enrollment, everyone will either present once or twice
- Presentations will be 3 minutes MAXIMUM. My son had a very loud egg-timer-like device that scared him and so now it lives in my office at BU. We’ll use that and when the buzzer goes off, you have to stop talking.
- Your presentations will cover:
- The research question and the key finding
- Why we should care about the paper
- In addition, regular attendance and class participation will be expected (but see COVID notes below).
- The reading list is long and mostly for reference. If there is something you have to read before class, I’ll make sure you know about it.
- Meetings
- I really like to meet with students to talk about research ideas. In the past, I have done this formally every two weeks but this class is large. So, let me just say that short (15 minute) one-on-one meetings are encouraged.
- Schedule them here: https://calendly.com/feigenbaum
- Come ready to pitch one new research idea.
- You should have a question (or two), an idea on the empirical strategy, and a sense of why we should care about the answer. If you have a guess as to what data would work or might exist, that’s great, but please don’t spend a lot of time on these ideas before the meeting and definitely don’t review the literature! If we workshop the idea a bit and you still like it, then go out and invest more time in the methods, the literature, the data, etc.
- Don’t worry if these ideas are good or bad or clever or not. One key skill you can learn in grad school is how to generate and kill ideas with maximum velocity. These meetings are meant to help hone that skill.
- Final Assignment?
- Writing a complete original research paper during a semester-long course is very hard (and in economic history, with a premium on collecting new old data, it is nearly impossible).
- In the past, I have had students do research proposals or referee reports but honestly I’m not sure that’s a good assignment either
- The referee reports are a bit like busy work and research proposals can be useful or a total waste of your time.
- So, this semester, I am trying something new:
- After the class is over, I want you to scour the literature for papers (published or working papers) that should be on the syllabus but aren’t. Find 3 to 5 papers and for each tell me:
- Which lecture they should be in
- Why?
Suggestions
When your schedule allows it, attend the Economic History Lunch and Workshop at Harvard. Both are on Friday, the lunch is at noon (and includes lunch) and the seminar is at 1:15pm. As of this year, the seminar is co-branded Harvard/BU, so that’s fun. The lunch will feature your peers, grad students from Harvard, MIT, BC, BU, and elsewhere presenting work in progress. The seminar invites economic history faculty from all over to present new work. Both are great opportunities to see early stage economic history research in action and you only have to cross the river once a week not twice to see them both. I’ll try to remember to pitch the week’s speakers during class as a reminder.
- I know that this conflicts with the micro lunch at BU on Fridays…
Subscribe to the NBER DAE working paper series (or the whole NBER WP weekly series). This is a great way to keep up with recent research: http://www.nber.org/new.html
Sign up for the EH.net mailing list: https://eh.net/mailing-lists/
Buy and read The Little Book of Research Writing. Research writing is hard but it isn’t impossible and the advice in this book is excellent. Let me put it this way: if I read your second year paper and you haven’t read this book, I will know.
COVID-19
Someday, I’ll get to take this section off the syllabus. This will still not likely to be a completely normal semester for any of us, unfortunately. If you are feeling ill, even if you think you just have a mild cold, please don’t come to class. I will be glad to help you catch up on whatever you miss via Zoom.
More generally, we should all be prepared to be flexible, not knowing what is ahead. We will work together to adapt the course if public health conditions require it.
Office Hours
I’ll be holding office hours Monday and Wednesday morning, 10:30am to noon. These can be in person or via Zoom. Make an appointment at calendly.com/feigenbaum. I am always happy to chat, so please reach out if you want to talk and we can find a time outside of office hours if that works better.
New Methods for Old Data
Every class, I’m going to spend ~15 minutes introducing you all to a “new” method in economic history. These will mostly be new methods for data construction method but might vary a bit.
- This is a new feature of the class and we’ll see how it goes.
- I have tried to connect the new data element in each class to the topic, but that wasn’t always possible.
- We should have some flexibility in the final class to talk about other datasets or methods. If you have ideas, please suggest something.
Recent Job Market Paper(s) of the Week
Almost every class, we’ll read and talk about a job market paper from a student on the market this year or last year. Why? In the not-so-distant future, you will all be writing your own job market papers. Reading fresh JMPs is a great way to get inspired and a great way to demystify the whole JMP process. This is also a good commitment device for me to stay up to date on the latest papers in the literature.
My process for finding new JMPs is imperfect (a combination of who applies for jobs at BU plus twitter). If you come across a JMP that looks cool and isn’t on the reading list, let me know.
Note: The JMPs of the week papers are not eligible for student presentations. They are long and if I don’t force myself to lecture on them, there’s a chance I won’t read them.
Syllabus
Introduction
January 23
- Goldin, Claudia. 1995. “Cliometrics and the Nobel.” JEP https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.9.2.191
- Abramitzkty, Ran. 2015. “Economics and the Modern Economic Historian.” JEH https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/journal-of-economic-history/article/abs/economics-and-the-modern-economic-historian/21FE6F69CF41FDF556398D533BDB03B5
- Jaremski, Matthew. 2020. “Today’s economic history and tomorrow’s scholars.” Cliometrica https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11698-019-00188-9
- Margo, Robert. 2018. “The integration of economic history into economics.” Cliometrica https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11698-018-0170-8
- Collins, William. 2019. “Publishing Economic History” https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-319-96568-0_40
- Bisin, Alberto and Giovanni Federico. 2021. “The Handbook of Historical Economics.” https://www-sciencedirect-com.ezproxy.bu.edu/book/9780128158746/the-handbook-of-historical-economics
- Ruggles, Steven. 2021 “The Revival of Quantification: Reflections on Old New Histories.” SSH https://doi.org/10.1017/ssh.2020.44
- Gutmann, Myron and Emily Klancher Merchant, and Evan Roberts. 2018. “‘Big Data’ in Economic History.” JEH https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050718000177
- Dell, Melissa. 2021. “Unleashing Novel Data at Scale.” https://dell-research-harvard.github.io/blog.html
New Methods for Old Data
- ICPSR 2896
- Complete Count Census
Education
January 25
The Return to Education
College
High School and Younger
Recent Job Market Paper(s) of the Week:
New Methods for Old Data
Intergenerational Mobility
January 30
Intergenerational Mobility Today
Intergenerational Mobility Historically
- Long, Jason and Joseph Ferrie. 2007. “The Path to Convergence: Intergenerational Occupational Mobility in Britain and the US in Three Eras.” EJ. http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1468-0297.2007.02035.x/full
- Feigenbaum, James. 2016. “Intergenerational Mobility during the Great Depression.” https://jamesfeigenbaum.github.io/research/jmp/
- Feigenbaum, James. 2018. “Multiple Measures of Historical Intergenerational Mobility: Iowa 1915 to 1940.” EJ https://onlinelibrary-wiley-com.ezproxy.bu.edu/doi/abs/10.1111/ecoj.12525
- Clark, Gregory. 2015. “The Son Also Rises: Surnames and the History of Social Mobility.”
- Ellora Derenoncourt. 2022. “Can you move to opportunity? Evidence from the Great Migration” AER https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20200002
- Perez, Santiago. 2019. “Intergenerational Occupational Mobility across Three Continents.” JEH https://doi-org.ezproxy.bu.edu/10.1017/S0022050719000032
- Ager, Philipp, Leah Boustan, and Katherine Eriksson. 2021. “The Intergenerational Effects of a Large Wealth Shock: White Southerners After the Civil War.” AER https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/aer.20191422
- Huiren Tan. 2022. “A Different Land of Opportunity: The Geography of Intergenerational Mobility in the Early 20th-Century US” JOLE https://www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/abs/10.1086/718595
- Song, Xi, et al. 2019. “Long-term decline in intergenerational mobility in the United States since the 1850s” PNAS https://www.pnas.org/doi/abs/10.1073/pnas.1905094116
Intergenerational Mobility and Public Policy
Recent Job Market Paper(s) of the Week:
New Methods for Old Data
- Census Linking
- Abramitzky, Ran, Leah Boustan, Katherine Eriksson, James Feigenbaum, and Santiago Perez. 2019. “Automated Linking of Historical Data” NBER Working Paper #25825 https://www.nber.org/papers/w25825
- Bailey, Martha, Connor Cole, Morgan Henderson, and Catherine Massey. 2017. “How Well Do Automated Linking Methods Perform? Lessons from US Historical Data” NBER Working Paper #24019 https://www.nber.org/papers/w24019
- Price, Joseph, Kasey Buckles, Riley, and Van Leeuwen. 2019. Combining Family History and Machine Learning to Link Historical Records” https://economics.ucdavis.edu/events/papers/430Price.pdf
- Ghosh, Arkadev, Sam Il Myoung Hwang, and Munir Squires. 2022. “Links and Legibility” https://www.dropbox.com/s/r78ophlkexct3un/jbes_rev_main_text_shortened.pdf?dl=0
- Census Linking Project (CLP), https://censuslinkingproject.org/
- Old IPUMS Linked Data, https://usa.ipums.org/usa/linked_data_samples.shtml
- New IPUMS Linked Data (MLP), https://usa.ipums.org/usa/mlp/mlp.shtml
- Life-M, https://life-m.org/
- Special issue on historical record linking in Historical Methods, https://www.tandfonline.com/toc/vhim20/53/2
Health
February 1
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
- Child Mortality via Linking
- Death Registration Area (DRA) and Birth Registration Area (BRA) data
Women in the Labor Force
February 6
Overview
The Pill and Abortion
Women and Technology
Sex Ratios
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
- Border Standardization (yes, this has very little to do with FLFP, but I needed to put it somewhere)
Migration
February 8
Great Migration
Westward Migration
Other Migration
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
Immigration
February 13
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
- Names as Data
- Record Linkage for Character-based Surnames
Crime and Violence
February 15
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
Marriage and Fertility
February 21
Marriage
- Bloome, Deirdre, James Feigenbaum, and Christopher Muller. 2017. “Tenancy, Marriage, and the Boll Weevil Infestation, 1892-1930.” Demography. https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007%2Fs13524-017-0581-3
- Stevenson, Betsey and Justin Wolfers. 2007. “Marriage and divorce: Changes and their driving forces.” JEP. https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.21.2.27
- Logan, Trevon and Jonathan Pritchett. 2017. “On the marital status of US slaves: Evidence from Touro Infirmary, New Orleans, Louisiana.” EEH https://www-sciencedirect-com.ezproxy.bu.edu/science/article/pii/S0014498317301432
- Goldin, Claudia and Maria Shim. 2004. “Making a name: Women’s surnames at marriage and beyond.” JEP https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/0895330041371268
- Hill, Matthew J. 2015. “Love in the Time of the Depression: The Effect of Economic Conditions on Marriage in the Great Depression.” JEH https://doi-org.ezproxy.bu.edu/10.1017/S0022050715000066
- Salisbury, Laura, 2017. “Women’s Income and Marriage Markets in the United States: Evidence from the Civil War Pension.” JEH. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050717000067
Fertility
- Bailey, Martha J and William Collins. 2011. “Did Improvements in Household Technology Cause the Baby Boom? Evidence from Electrification, Appliance Diffusion, and the Amish,” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics. http://www.jstor.org/stable/41237147
- Jones, Larry E. and Michele Tertilt. 2006. “An Economic History of Fertility in the United States, 1820-1960,” NBER #12796. http://www.nber.org/papers/w12796
- Beach, Brian and Walker Hanlon. 2019. “Censorship, Family Planning, and the Historical Fertility Transition.” NBER #25752 https://www.nber.org/papers/w25752
- Kitchens, Carl and Luke Rodgers. 2020. “The Impact of the WWI Agricultural Boom and Bust on Female Opportunity Cost and Fertility.” NBER #27530 https://www.nber.org/papers/w27530
- Hacker, J David, Jonas Helgertz, Matt A Nelson, and Evan Roberts. 2021. “The Influence of Kin Proximity on the Reproductive Success of American Couples, 1900–1910” Demography https://read.dukeupress.edu/demography/article/58/6/2337/226532/The-Influence-of-Kin-Proximity-on-the-Reproductive
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
- Ancestry.com and FamilySearch and other Genealogy Sites
Race and Elections in Economic History
February 22
The Voting Rights Act
Jim Crow
Slavery
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
- Congressional Districts
- Roll Call Data
Politicians and Economic History
February 27
Democracy
- Eoin McGuirk, Nathaniel Hilger, and Nicholas Miller. “No Kin in the Game: Moral Hazard and War in the US Congress” NBER WP #23904. http://www.nber.org/papers/w23904
- Thompson, Daniel, James Feigenbaum, Andrew Hall, and Jesse Yoder. 2019. “Who Becomes a Member of Congress? Evidence From De-Anonymized Census Data.” NBER WP #26156 https://www.nber.org/papers/w26156
- Feigenbaum, James, Max Palmer, and Ben Schneer. “‘Descended from Immigrants and Revolutionists’: How Family Immigration History Shapes Representation in Congress.” https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3459690
- Dal Bo, Ernesto, Pedro Dal Bo, and Jason Snyder. 2009. “Political Dynasties.” RESTUD https://academic.oup.com/restud/article-abstract/76/1/115/1574319
- Dal Bo, Ernesto, Frederico Finan, Olle Folke, Torsten Persson, and Johanna Rickne. 2017. “Who Becomes A Politician?” QJE https://academic.oup.com/qje/article-abstract/132/4/1877/3859758
Monarchy
Bureaucrats
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
- Congressional Speech Data
Innovation and Technology
March 1
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
Unions and Labor Market Institutions
March 13
Unions and Inequality
Labor Market Policy
Recent Job Market Papers(s) of the Week
New Methods for Old Data
More New Methods for Old Data
March 15
- Special EEH Issue on New Methods
- OCR for Historical Text and Handwriting
- LayoutParser
- ChatGPT
- Maps as Data
- Maching Learning